Jack Sparrow
Costume Account
whoops
Vote: zombie.
Vote: zombie.
Why not them? I don't agree that they put anything out early because I don't think shitposts matterWhy them?
Why not them? I don't agree that they put anything out early because I don't think shitposts matter
gosh, I thought I was replying to different people each time :/It sure seems so. Both of these had you quoting me. Did you forget your previous response?
vote: Dracula
Keep an eye on Barney
One of Steve's most detailed reads is on Banana whom he town reads and these are the two posts he liked the most where Banana responds to me:
It's more of a gut feel than having any strong post evidence at this point. I think it was this post that first made me go hmm:
At that point, as I mentioned about it, we were only about 5 hours in the game and then all of the sudden we need to take things super seriously because uh oh one of us is going to die in the night (which unless we have a lucky doc then yes that's obviously going to happen). It felt like she was just trying to buy some serious townie cred by trying to be the first one to wrangle things so early. That and I don't love the visions talk but that is probably just flavor junk with nothing behind it.
In both Banana explains why he thinks my behavior has looked scummy. A little bit later in post 275 Steve responds a little confused to my question (I was just asking who you wanted to kill, basically who your top scum is to get the ball running) with this:First 24 hours should be memes and shitposts, I mean what else is there to do Day 1?
It just read as trying to buy town cred really early in the game. Percentages say are we are likely going to lunch a townie today and then lose at least 1 (depending on if there is an SK or any additional killing abilities) during the night phase so I don't get all of this concern about losing people now.
Which is whatever apart from the fact he is kinda putting me as top town.Are you asking for a full protect, investigate kill? Or just a “who would you shoot day 1”?
Because I would want to investigate cereal killer, but not kill the cereal killer.
Protect dany, she is putting in good work.
I’m not sure who I would kill though. Maybe @Prisoner? @Clown you were able to interact with prisoner what do you think?
Has anything in particular made you think this way about Dracula?I am pretty against Drac votes at this point tbh and I think additional Dracula voters look pretty lazy here.
He asked for some proof and that's the best I could make in a short amount of time. It's hard to prove anything with three games, but there's a trend *shrug*I am at best a wannabe statistician, but surely three games is too little to conclude anything Dany. The playstyle bits that people have said so far ring true to me, it's just luck of the draw if the game gets the spam posters as scum or town. It could be said that the three example games shown show this variance - the middle game has 20% scum in it but scum made only 7% of the total posts, whereas in the 3rd game the numbers were 20% and 28%.
I already said but I'll say it again. I think Drac held up okay under pressure and the fact that a bunch of people piled on after he started to get some heat looks more sus than Drac himself does here. I dont have a town read there right now but it's not a scum read either and I don't wnat to kill him. Zombie, who was reactive and defensive, looks worse.Has anything in particular made you think this way about Dracula?
I think I'll keep my vote there for the moment. Are you going to vote today, or just throwing shade around to see what sticks?Prisoner stopped after the last bunch of posts he made. Everything there ran around the one point he made and I don't really feel it, much like many of the other things around here. @Prisoner where do you stand now in terms of the vote? Keeping me or jumping perhaps to Dracula or what?
I think Dracula is a decent player so I wouldn't go too far in clearing him for holding up. I don't think he's a good D1 lynch however since he's contributed quite a lot and I don't see that "slip" as being much of anything.I already said but I'll say it again. I think Drac held up okay under pressure and the fact that a bunch of people piled on after he started to get some heat looks more sus than Drac himself does here. I dont have a town read there right now but it's not a scum read either and I don't wnat to kill him. Zombie, who was reactive and defensive, looks worse.
I think I'll keep my vote there for the moment. Are you going to vote today, or just throwing shade around to see what sticks?
whoops
Vote: zombie.
I don't think Clown is going to happen today, or Rey for that matter. You already stated your feelings on Drac and Bob. Is Zombie someone you can get behind for today or is that a no-go for you?I don't really feel a Dracula lunch today.
I'm more concerned with Clown, Rey and to an extent Bob.
I'm also not a huge fan of Barney filling the post requirement and then disappearing. It doesn't give us anything to work with in later days
I chose to go with Zombie over Bobert because the posts Bob had on the last page seemed fine and I agreed with his assement on DT’s stats about high posting players. Zombie has been quiet as well today and couple that with my previous thoughts on them.Why Zombie over Bob? You were considering them both.
@Dracula I'd like to hear your thoughts on the top vote candidates. I have to imagine you'll want to save yourself here.
As for Rey, I’m leaning town with him. That might not be what you’re looking to hear, but I think his posting is too erratic to be scum. Town as a whole have made enough of a fuss about him that scum would probably keep him alive so we have to eventually lynch him, though. That’s not a bridge I’m ready to cross yet.
You know what I'm also up to lynch DT if others also want to.
Here are the post counts of D1 from a few games in the same season (Doggy, Nightmare and Greed) with the scum highlighted and there are more scum in the lower part than the higher part. If we add them all we get 1/3 + 1/2 + 3/2 for a total of 5 in the top half and 7 in the bottom half.
This is quite a small sample, but notice how much higher the top poster is in all of these who is not scum.
Reads for the Reads God
[She/Her] Baby - Giving some pretty middle of the road thoughts. I don’t have enough of a feeling where they are at; whether non-committing scum or unsure town.
[He/Him] Banana - My top scum at the moment. Engaging just enough with folks to buy town cred, pushing folks, but I can’t shake the feeling that there’s not much behind his words. Also, despite me accusing him a few times throughout the day, only on this morning decides to test the waters for a lynch on me just because one other player has voted for me.
[-] Barack Obama - null read
[He/Him] Barney - I don’t like the attitude Barney has but I don’t think that indicates anything further than a person who doesn’t want to mess around with D1 proceedings. Not a positive in my book, by any means.
[He/Him] Bob Ross - I cant really pin Bob Ross. His logic doesn’t seem to make much sense. He thinks that D1 is a waste of time, that many players are wasting their time discussing certain things, but is basically putting a vote down on the same type of behavior. Very suspicious, but since he is posting more now, I’m mixed on whether he is scum or aggravated and mistaken town.
[She/Her] Cereal Killer|CK - Very helpful and pushing good rhetoric. Would be a beneficial player to keep around, even at running the risk of her being scum.
[He/Him] Cinderella - middle of the road. I got nothing else to say.
[He/Him] Clown - trying to be helpful for the most part. I’m not sure about much of his thinking but it’s at least healthy conversation.
[She/Her] Daenerys Targaryen - A little all over the place, but also seems to just be trying to help town. The Dracula stuff at the start of day may have hurt more than it helped, but we’ve all been there.
[He/Him] Dracula - middle of the road. I don’t have much to say about him.
[He/Him] Jack Sparrow - null read
[He/Him] Kool-Aid Man - null read. He has a vote on me, but I just shrug because I don’t know where it’s coming from.
[He/Him] Minecraft Steve - null read
[He/Him] Prisoner - null read
[He/Him] Rey - Erratic and not helping a whole lot. Given the history of games here, I’m pretty sure that points to town.
[-] Spider-Man - I don’t have much of a read on them, but trying to get the ball rolling helped create a lot of discussion. I respect that they took that risk.
[He/Him] Witch - idk pretty cool guy I guess
[He/Him] Zombie - I’m very leery of the way Zombie has been acting. He seems to be sniping posts addressing him, rather than propagating any meaningful conversation of his own.
Those stats don’t hold much weight with me right now. But imma drop my vote here
Zombie.
I am choosing to vote for Zombie for their defensiveness and hyperbolic comments.
Between Zombie, Bob, and Prisoner I'm leaning towards Zombie being on the town end. His posts look the most insightful and it looks like he's more genuine in trying to ascertain people's intentions. I agree with the vast majority of the insights he's dropped, and melding like that is always a good sign. The progression towards his vote on me today looks town-natural, I'm not surprised that his wagon has been the one to gain traction the easiest. I think the wagons being on him and I at the moment is town playing right into scum's hands.
My personal vote?
VOTE: Bob Ross
It looks like Bob has spent the day using my quote unquote "slip" as cover fire to distract the thread from the fact that he's having serious problems engaging with the game. When situations like this happen early on in the game, it's common for scum to latch on like flies to fly paper, and I think that all of the attention on me fits that bill. For Bob having 31 posts, there's very little to show from it, and fmpov it's pretty much all surface level engagement. (if I could iso his posts I could do a deep dive and double check this but I'm still unaware how to do this on OM.) There was also a ton of heat on Bob early but votes never came from it which strikes me as some soft bussing going on somewhere.
Prisoner, I'm more ambivalent on. A lot of their comments don't necessarily strike me as town POV so I wouldn't be sad if they died either.
Also unrelated to the top three wagons I'm pretty sure Banana would be the second scum that has been opportunistically on me today. All of their analyses of my posts strike me as completely bad faith.
LolI think Dracula is a decent player
Vote: Minecraft Steve
I can see where you’re coming from on Bob v Zombie, even if I don’t necessarily agree.
unsurprisingly, I’m very much on board with lynching Banana, but that’s just three of us that would entertain that and I think I’m the only one with him as a first choice.
Oh no don't get me wrong, I'm commenting on the fact that she did detective work to find out who you really are which is like, why would town bother especially on D1?Bob, that stings my soul.
Seriously though, why would you think this? You haven't really interacted with any of my input aside from the slip you're pushing.
Oh no don't get me wrong, I'm commenting on the fact that she did detective work to find out who you really are which is like, why would town bother especially on D1?
I feel Rey and Daenerys are likely town, despite their behavior hurting town; both things can be true. I also think CK is likely town, but I don’t want to let my guard down with her. I think she knows what she’s doing enough to be able to fake a town playstyle really well.I find it interesting that you've only outed a single hard townread in this list. Aside from the suspects that you're pushing, nearly every read that would lean the opposite way is wishy washy. "I'm mixed on whether he's scum or town", "May be trying to help town but their activity at start of day may have hurt more than it helped", "Would be beneficial to keep around for their helpful rhetoric, even if they are scum." What? Can you out three players you feel are likely to be town at this juncture?
where did she say that?Oh no don't get me wrong, I'm commenting on the fact that she did detective work to find out who you really are which is like, why would town bother especially on D1?
"I think Dracula is a decent player", no way you can come to that conclusion from a few D1 posts, she did detective work to figure out who he is.where did she say that?
If you had to make a definitive statement on Cereal Killer's alignment, what would you say she is?I feel Rey and Daenerys are likely town, despite their behavior hurting town; both things can be true. I also think CK is likely town, but I don’t want to let my guard down with her. I think she knows what she’s doing enough to be able to fake a town playstyle really well.
I have a lot of doubts and that comes through in how I describe things (I.e. meandering).
Town.If you had to make a definitive statement on Cereal Killer's alignment, what would you say she is?
You interested in trying this out?
VOTE: Banana
I call bullshit. From Drac's post about thinking on scum distribution you can get a sense of experience if nothing else and since he doesn't seem like a screwup, that's not a big jump to decent player. You're just reading assumptions in and then stating them as fact."I think Dracula is a decent player", no way you can come to that conclusion from a few D1 posts, she did detective work to figure out who he is.
isn't there three hours left?There's a bit over an hour left, teamwork makes dreamwork.
But Bob is a likelier person to get lynched and I think there are decent chances there too so I'm not necessarily fussed.
You definitely can't make jumps to anything from that.I call bullshit. From Drac's post about thinking on scum distribution you can get a sense of experience if nothing else and since he doesn't seem like a screwup, that's not a big jump to decent player. You're just reading assumptions in and then stating them as fact.
That took a lot of time, sorry.
View attachment 105
Here are the post counts of D1 from a few games in the same season (Doggy, Nightmare and Greed) with the scum highlighted and there are more scum in the lower part than the higher part. If we add them all we get 1/3 + 1/2 + 3/2 for a total of 5 in the top half and 7 in the bottom half.
This is quite a small sample, but notice how much higher the top poster is in all of these who is not scum.
But you can jump to assuming investigation of who someone is? lolkYou definitely can't make jumps to anything from that.
Never trust me to correctly parse the timing for social events. I like to be fashionably wrong.isn't there three hours left?
Oh didn't realize we were starting. I'm seeing the usual day 1 of joke votes followed by people taking those joke votes seriously is going full steam.
This is a hell of a bad post though. Further investigation is required.
Other option was to what? Not post in thread?
Okay. Next time I'll just not post and get removed from game.
Maybe I shouldn’t have said hyperbolic but I think the first quote is a bit extreme and I read the two posts after that as defensive.I didn't get the impression that Zombie was being defensive or hyperbolic. Can you quote some posts?
I kinda think all the activity accusations on d1 are a bit lame so I can sympathize with his reaction there, I wouldn't necessarily call it defensive in a bad way. I pretty much react the same way when people accuse me of going "mist form" after I leave following a string of posts, even though I'm posting substanstive content when I get some time in here.Maybe I shouldn’t have said hyperbolic but I think the first quote is a bit extreme and I read the two posts after that as defensive.
I will say, I'm not there yet but Witch is definitely moving up my list of possible scum. I mean look at this:
But when he went to cast his votes he just defaulted to the the same people as suspects with bad reasons and then just went with the "sorry, I won't have time to contribute much today" route to slink back into the shadows.
I don't have much to add to this discussion, but just so you know you ain't crazy, I'm not following eitherI'm trying to figure out how Bob Ross can spin up a whole fanfic about people investigating identities but I can say "this person doesn't seem like a screwup so they seem decent" and the thing I did is what doesn't make sense lol
I agree with your assessment. I think there are other examples, as well.Maybe I shouldn’t have said hyperbolic but I think the first quote is a bit extreme and I read the two posts after that as defensive.
Your argument is extreme for a premise that is pretty weak.You definitely can't make jumps to anything from that.
I mean it's either one or the other, I don't see what's so hard to understand. Either she claimed he was a decent player out of thin air, because to know something like that you have to have at least a few games with the person, or she did detective work.But you can jump to assuming investigation of who someone is? lolk
I wonder what you're going to do with this then lol:I mean it's either one or the other, I don't see what's so hard to understand. Either she claimed he was a decent player out of thin air, because to know something like that you have to have at least a few games with the person, or she did detective work.
I chose to go with Zombie over Bobert because the posts Bob had on the last page seemed fine and I agreed with his assement on DT’s stats about high posting players. Zombie has been quiet as well today and couple that with my previous thoughts on them.
you must be investigating people!! burn the spiderome strong/active players like CK and Dracula
Whatever, if I'm the only one seeing it ok I guess.
I mean it's either one or the other, I don't see what's so hard to understand. Either she claimed he was a decent player out of thin air, because to know something like that you have to have at least a few games with the person, or she did detective work.
LOL, well, you are voting for me aren't you?you must be investigating people!! burn the spider
Maybe they know it from scum chat, maybe they did detective work because scum would do that in order to know who to kill at night. Either way town doesn't benefit from doing it and it's not like Dracula is obvious like someone else we have.Detective work, or are you insinuating she would know this from scum chat? Do you think scum would share their real names in the scum chat? Genuinely curious.
Yeah, but it's a prod vote and you said something so I feel better but I don't feel like unvoting so I'm gonna sit there for a while. I want to ask you for a PIK thoughLOL, well, you are voting for me aren't you?
So what’s your play?I feel like Scum is happy to let the Drac wagon go on
it is a bad wagonJust noticed my top 3 scum are all on the Dracula vote lol
that’s an interesting coincidence
Gigantic brain take, this person is on to somethingI feel like Scum is happy to let the Drac wagon go on
Ngl I’m probably just gonna vote on the next biggest wagon. I looked through your case for Banana and am not really convinced there either but D1’s amiriteSo what’s your play?
u riteNgl I’m probably just gonna vote on the next biggest wagon. I looked through your case for Banana and am not really convinced there either but D1’s amirite
Just noticed my top 3 scum are all on the Dracula vote lol
that’s an interesting coincidence
Gigantic brain take, this person is on to something
The way in which you ordered those quotes is strange, that was not what my post was in response to. Keep misconstruing what I'm claiming like that.Yes, scum always group up together with a D1 vote and not just spread their votes around. I really thought Rey was playing the Salva type game but I'm starting to come around to thinking that Witch has a Salva PhD.
Yes, scum always group up together with a D1 vote and not just spread their votes around. I really thought Rey was playing the Salva type game but I'm starting to come around to thinking that Witch has a Salva PhD.
There's definitely at least 1 scum, possibly 2, on that Dracula train soooo I'm pretty comfy where I am
The way in which you ordered those quotes is strange, that was not what my post was in response to. Keep misconstruing what I'm claiming like that.
Well yeah, but that assertion kind of corroborates the statement you're arguing against.You're right, I meant to separate both your's and Witch's comments, got distracted with a work call and forgot. Scum don't care what wagon develops just as long as it isn't them. Maybe in a regular game they might want to push it towards a more known commodity but in a costume game they ain't really going to care (at least this early).
Dracula is playing as someone with experience and is using quite a bit mafia vocabulary so they’re not new to this game.Maybe they know it from scum chat, maybe they did detective work because scum would do that in order to know who to kill at night. Either way town doesn't benefit from doing it and it's not like Dracula is obvious like someone else we have.
Just super null in general and their townread on Banana read as a bit fake when I looked into it (Steve seems to townread me, townread Banana from posts where he was suspicious of me).Why, Dany? I actually like Steve's post on page 6 a lot.
Steve is someone I would definitely look into D2, depending on the outcome of D1.Just super null in general and their townread on Banana read as a bit fake when I looked into it (Steve seems to townread me, townread Banana from posts where he was suspicious of me).
I can't objectively disagree but I don't see them as being exclusive beyond reasonable doubt (I can imagine a townie could possibly hold both views at once regardless.) I really like his reasoning behind voting Prisoner being a "meh" while being unable to elaborate on specifics because it was pretty much exactly how I felt about Prisoner's posts, slight scum lean without them standing out much at all.Just super null in general and their townread on Banana read as a bit fake when I looked into it (Steve seems to townread me, townread Banana from posts where he was suspicious of me).
...I can't objectively disagree but I don't see them as being exclusive beyond reasonable doubt (I can imagine a townie could possibly hold both views at once regardless.) I really like his reasoning behind voting Prisoner being a "meh" while being unable to elaborate on specifics because it was pretty much exactly how I felt about Prisoner's posts, slight scum lean without them standing out much at all.
Btw, how do I ISO on OM? Assuming you're doing it now....
Guess I should ISO Prisoner
@Spider-Man you cant give me a PIK?
To be honest Spidy insisting on voting Cereal makes me think they might be Town.
unvote
voting out the post leader D1 is usually not a good idea.
I would like to hear more from Barney. What do you think of Dracula? What about Daeny?
Zombie: Any results from your investigation into Dracula?
I don't really feel a Dracula lunch today.
I'm more concerned with Clown, Rey and to an extent Bob.
I'm also not a huge fan of Barney filling the post requirement and then disappearing. It doesn't give us anything to work with in later days
I just open every page and ctrl+f the person I'm ISOing.Btw, how do I ISO on OM? Assuming you're doing it now.
Kill Bob or Baby, Marry Clown and F...
Oh wait, wrong game.
Protect witch or Dracula, Investigate Jack Sparrow, CK or Barney, kill Bob or Baby. But I could be persuaded to vote Banana too, why not.