What do you think of Sawneeks?
Nothing she's done has immediately stood out to me as remotely scummy.
What do you think of Sawneeks?
Are you expecting me to have a 100% streak? I make mistakes too you know.I'd say if sawneeks flips town, I'd probably go for a muffin / geno Lynch.
Can you explain to me why ScumGeno kills Natiko and Apollo?I'd say if sawneeks flips town, I'd probably go for a muffin / geno Lynch.
What?Can you explain why scum Natiko did the same to town?
Your point is completely moot as Natiko did it with scum that was already redchecked.It's easy for scum to throw other scum under the bus for a means to an end. That's no excuse
Scum throwing scum under the bus is one thing. Scum directly killing scum is another.It's easy for scum to throw other scum under the bus for a means to an end. That's no excuse
Geno was literally the first to tell everybody Natiko shouldn't be assumed as 100% town because of Include, and ITAed him, but "the Natiko kill wasn't intentional"? Really?There's no reason to believe that the Natiko kill was intentional. It could have been a shot that they were hoping to miss, just so it looks better if Natiko ever flipped scum.
Geno was literally the first to tell everybody Natiko shouldn't be assumed as 100% town because of Include, and ITAed him, but "the Natiko kill wasn't intentional"? Really?
I understand that you all are mad with Genos latest role claim bait, but you're using the most ridiculous arguments to somehow make Geno scum.
zeke’s shot was interrupted by death. I decided to echo that shot on his behalf. Well... on their behalf, should you read the dedication.
And I’m not even sure what’s up with Blade’s claim. I need to read back on it, since it’s a weird touchy subject for some reason? Don’t think someone actually asked what were his targets.
Everything is so... quiet. Ever since the active posters died, nobody's picked up the slack.
I'll try to start discussion again. @Geno, do you really think it was justified to lie to the thread about having real information? @Sawneeks, do you think that such a action should lead to more investigation of him?
I'd say if sawneeks flips town, I'd probably go for a muffin / geno Lynch.
too bad terra isn't here to explain to us that geno would definitely buss his scummatesI'd say keep an eye on him but I don't think he is Scum.
hey it happensI forgot rac
Didn't we already have two dead scum with very similar powers or am I remembering wrong?Also doubt Scum has TWO fake BP Vest Givers given Inclue already had that ability.
Fandorin - Town!Fandorin is usually all up in my face, which he isn't in this game, but I'm still getting town vibes from him. I get some frustration from his posts, which I'm feeling as well. He's one of out of two possibilties for scum in the Greed event, and probably the likeliest one, but I'm still townreading him.
hey it happens
Didn't we already have two dead scum with very similar powers or am I remembering wrong?
Also thinking about flavor at all doesn't help anyone.
also @Sawneeks seems extreme is sort of claiming captain america
well i didn't think about multiple caps, extreme said they were steve rogers i believeDidn't Blarg also claim Cap? Or did he claim Winter Soldier?
im sorry but imma keep harping on this for a secBlarg I can see flipping scum, but with Melon flipping town the chance is now reduced. After that we should probably start going for LP or Briefscat, maybe rac too although I will have to reread him.
second day in a row where you took a shot with no consequences
rac already mentioned it but I dislike how you're passing the blame for the shot choice on to someone else. Why bandwagon?
im sorry but imma keep harping on this for a sec
does no one else think this is strange? lp or briefscat and maybe me
When in that post did I speak about categories, in the past few posts you've been putting words in my mouth. Stop.It's definitely strange. You're nowhere near the category that the other two players are in
When in that post did I speak about categories, in the past few posts you've been putting words in my mouth. Stop.
have you ever even mentioned me since ive been hereWhen in that post did I speak about categories, in the past few posts you've been putting words in my mouth. Stop.
You can't ITA me lol, I thought I told you all this already
It's very weird because, as far as I remember, the only DCPat-related event that happened between these two reads was my negative own read of DCPat. It could be that Saw was trying to justify her passing of the antidote after the fact.
I don't like that this is conditioned on that specific read because I'm still very uncertain about you... and it actually paints you in a bad light.
DCPat's post itself isn't really weird in terms of content, but the intent behind it seems weird now that we know he was scum.
As scum, why would he want to distance himself from the townie he gave the antidote to? Scum usually holds on tight to any connection to a townie.
Yes, I certainly didn’t end up taking a shot at a townie. Totally absolved.
Come on now.
Oh and there clearly would have been a consequence on success, given your gnashing of teeth over losing it.
I was asked why I shot. You want me to conjure some deep reasoning where there wasn’t any to ease your mind? I trust a confirmed town’s decision more than any poor target I could come up with... you know, like trying to shoot the stranger which was lauded as “a shot with no consequences”. I certainly followed the leader there.
“I decided to” is totally passing the blame language too.
And come on kalor is totally scum tuys
*Sigh*Well fuck this game for 90 minutes. It’s Brazil time.
With the amount of players I can't get a grasp on, I'm not too worried about ranking my townreads. Either way, I just don't have the energy to scumread you right now.That’s a cool read. And I call bullshit that I’m your third most town read player but ok.
Bolded is really interesting; who’s the other possibility for scum in the Greed event?
Several of your posts have rubbed me the wrong way and seemed offDid you ever say why you suspected me?
Brazil you make some good points. I can appreciate it when good arguments come against me. I'm not even mad. I wish I was some kind of 3rd party this game, I would've totally won, that's not the case though. I'm not even sure why scum hasn't killed me yet.
I still stand by what I said in the first post you quoted. DCPat didn't really do anything drastic during the entire game to warrant a 180º like the one in your reads.Hey Brazil, can I ask why you made these posts but then came around and felt I was possibly Townie? These posts make it seem like you are Scum Reading far more than your Reads List says.
Several of your posts have rubbed me the wrong way and seemed off
I've been thinking that they role coped me night 1. But don't have much to back it up besides me pushing for Splinter, Verelios and Grizzly who all were scum.If we believe Brazil's analysis, unpredictable town is usually good to keep around.
Sure, join me on Sawneeks.Now I have no scum reads...
ugh can I just piggyback off someone else's reads?
Not gonna address the Scum Reads on you?Now I have no scum reads...
ugh can I just piggyback off someone else's reads?
???I've been thinking that they role coped me night 1. But don't have much to back it up besides me pushing for Splinter, Verelios and Grizzly who all were scum.
Yea sorry if i wasn’t on mobile i could try to go grab them but I’m traveling till day end. but with the player count getting to a reasonable amount I’ll try to put in some actual work here soon doing some iso and what not.Fair enough.
Like I don’t want to scum read swamped after stuff like this because she’s better than this as scum rightNow I have no scum reads...
ugh can I just piggyback off someone else's reads?
Mafia team, I thought that was obvious.???
Uh, might want to break this down a bit more. Who is 'they'?
That's what I thought but I guess I don't get why that would be an issue for them to have trouble pushing against you.Mafia team, I thought that was obvious.
That's what I thought but I guess I don't get why that would be an issue for them to have trouble pushing against you.
My follow up would be why decide to follow Zeke now after he flips on not last Phase? Did you not trust him then?
Not gonna address the Scum Reads on you?
Like I don’t want to scum read swamped after stuff like this because she’s better than this as scum right
...Alexem is deadWith regards to Alexem, I strongly townread him after his claim and his reaction to other people's reactions to it. It just oozed towniness lol
Because I wanted to remove the unknown factor of that day, the stranger. How ya doin, rac.
I mean definitely some people are pushing for geno right now...
Do you mean why didn’t I follow him Day 3? Because I wanted to remove the unknown factor of that day, the stranger. How ya doin, rac.
If you mean “Why did you use your shot before the last ITA phase”: I see no reason to sit on my shot if I’ve already decided on a target. If my shot kills, someone else’s target changes, and hopefully for the better.
A query back: why do you consistently fire phase 2?
i mean what are the odds that scum would have two pr that are almost(?) identical
So going back and reading that convo it’s about why scum haven’t killed him yet. And I think it’s a soft of sorts am I misreading?I know that, I just find his sudden comment odd. He's essentially saying 'Scum have info on me but are too scared to act on it EXCEPT FOR NOW'. It was just sudden and weird.
It was more the former. Thank you for the answer though.
I actually didn't realize it was always Phase 2 lol. I'd shoot Phase 1 but that's when I'm sleeping and Phase 2 is typically when I'm at work and have a chance to put a command in if the time allows it.
ffffsfsfsMan neeks every time I start to come around on you you have to go and....
Totally redeem yourself!
But no, not really. What’s the word on the green check why no mention of me on that list? Why including me in the unsure section? For real for real?
lelffffsfsfs
would you believe me if i said i forgot
Vote Tool has it all at the bottom. You have 192 posts total.Also I was gonna address the posting a lot because I don’t think it’s factual but I can’t figure out how to see post count in this thread on this new fangled site on mobile
:'(lel
Worst Yoshi na
This is untrue and easily disproven. I've literally spent the end of last day and the beginning of this day looking at people who started the Alexem train, not because I was "dragged into that discussion" as Brazil earlier put it, but because I was scumhunting. I started that and put effort into reading those people, and turned out right, scum was hiding in there.6. Muffin: Going off of today and my previous Reads List I still feel Muffin is either Scum or Neutral. He only pops in when he is under fire or when he does come in outside of that he has issues giving out proper reads on people. Also dislike how quickly he jumped in with Geno on attacking me as I felt that was easy for him to justify with BS meta 'reasons', though I think I'm biased there. Do want to ISO if I have the time but I don't trust him.
Talking about some sort of meta town isn't gonna go anywhere, lol. This is an entirely different kind of game from the get go. It's not the new mechanics that make me say that, it's the number of people.
Worrying about how town used to be isn't going to help when things ramp up and there's too much to follow or track.
Hmm... okay, that event was a shitshow, but after it, I'm leaning towards two options.
Vere seems to have thrown that event and made a lot of losers out of the players in it. I'm still not grasping all of the implications from that event, but I'll get back to it.
I'd be more interested in pursuing one of the players that lurked and hopped into the event out of the blue. It's a little rich coming from someone like me, who's also a low-poster, but it'd be an odd coincidence to suddenly just have an event come up the first time you check the thread :D
Vote: Rynam
... I'm hoping I did the vote right. I kept fucking it up in sneakers mafia ><
So, our options, then, are lynch melonrabbit, lynch Splinter, or no lynch on either. A tie will lead to no lynch, but that's not really a decision, so much as a circumstance
Vote: Splinter
I like melon more so far due to higher activity ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Truth be told, I'm not really feeling a strong reason to go for either. Good job Thanos for not making it easy on us.
This may be my first game where town pulled a scum lynch off the bat - that's Mahvel, baby!!
I have a suspicion that we saw as many deaths over the night as there are scummies left. It could very well be that scum do not have to come to a consensus in this game. If there were about 5 at the beginning, then giving them each a NK is a great way to balance a lower scum ratio in this game. The nice part is that this is somewhat testable... if we keep seeing high numbers of NK's, then that's strong support for my theory. It'd be unlikely for scum to not go for the NK's over a concern that I may be right.
Thoughts?
Yeah, pretty much. A scum team would have to be pretty dumb to not use multiple NK's just to disprove what I'm saying, so I do predict a constant multiple amount of NK's.
It's hard for me to predict role effects, but I think the multiple NK angle might give us something to work with. If I'm wrong, that'd be a happy error for town, since hopefully less NK's :]
Hmm fair enough points. I'm gonna pocket my theory, though, and see what happens over the next few nights.
Also, hi hi buddy monkey! \o/ We haven't tried to lynch each other in forever. Really should make the time to catch up and accuse each other of scumminess
What was the deal with AlexEm at the end of the last day phase? Don't understand much about what happened there apart from him not doing well to some pressure questions (?)
Sounds good, and thanks monkey for that. Odd how the vote didn't change off him after he voted himself, but I didn't check to see how much more time was left in that day
True that. I've got no excuses, so gonna try to amend that :]
As per an earlier message of yours, I think using ITA's on the other low-posters sounds like an alright idea. The ITA's are low probability, whereas lynches are more valuable if used on more active players
Happy birthday Zubz! Despite being a grandpa, you look amazing. Those Son family genes are nuts
At this moment, I'm still open to going for a low-activity player.... but I'm also open to Swamped or Sawneeks
Moreso Swamped, so before I lose the chance
Vote: Swamped
I don't get a good vibe from the way Swamped is playing right now. Brazil has made a good arguement for Swamped in earlier posts that I agree with.
As for you.... I actually goofed :D I thought it was you who laid down a drive-by vote on melonrabbit, but it was actually briefs_cat. Sorry about that!
Well ain’t this the Yoshi calling the koopa troopa greenVote Tool has it all at the bottom. You have 192 posts total.
Oh we started already.
Do I need to go back and look for Grizzly's vote on me or can I just assume it's a tradition at this point?
Never change.
Vote: melonrabbit
What's the current topic of discussion? Zipped and Vere both being role cops?
Also I keep scrolling but can't find anything about this Thunderdome?
I see Vere died. Who killed him?
Given that I've read a fraction of this thread, this is your chance to sway me towards your biggest scum read with selective quoting and eloquent analysis.
I do however disagree with that Natiko quote. He wouldn't put two scum buddies in a list of three.
This is a work in progress.
Won't shoot
Geno
If Saw flips scum, Geno's lie would be lauded as a Hecht-level gambit.
That said, is there any reason to believe Saw's claim?
Womp womp: Swamped
Let's not line up lunches. There's a lot of players left and town-town is still possible.
If we believe Brazil's analysis, unpredictable town is usually good to keep around.
this is pretty disingenuous considering the actions of both jaots are very differentWhat, like two joats?
This is untrue and easily disproven. I've literally spent the end of last day and the beginning of this day looking at people who started the Alexem train, not because I was "dragged into that discussion" as Brazil earlier put it, but because I was scumhunting. I started that and put effort into reading those people, and turned out right, scum was hiding in there.
I'm not coming in and "defend myself" I find it surprising that anybody even thinks so. People aren't giving me reasons they're scumreading me and vote me. They argue about my scumreads. "Defending" those isn't the same as defending myself.
Well ain’t this the Yoshi calling the koopa troopa green
this is pretty disingenuous considering the actions of both jaots are very different
No specific reason; there really wasn't a specific person that screamed 'target me!' that evening phase, so I figured I'd go for an active user.@LuxCommander why did you target me last night, by the way? It slipped my mind to ask you earlier.
http://www.outermafia.com/index.php?posts/32747/ and two other posts below this one.@Brazil Can you do me a huge favor and quote your Swamped analysis posts? Thanks
Be more disingenious please. I always talked about the first 5 who started that train, and had already limited my search to monkey and Natiko.Congrats, you found Scum in a vote containing 13 people. Shocking.
...Alexem is dead
Greetings. I have a lot to catch up on but send me any questions you might have and I'll answer them whenever I can.
Granted I only have day 1 and a little bit of today to go off but I have seen you make posts today that are basically the same as day 1 and in those instances, don't really say anything new. I'd provide quotes if I wasn't on mobile. Maybe your day 2 game is way better but right now, I'm surprised you've made it this far. Though maybe that's just because you got lucky with the ITAs like you did earlier.
Spark being town is a shame but they would have continued to be a suspect as the game went on. I'm still on day 2 but right now, I could get behind a vote for the inactives at the very least. LP, Blarg and Stan would be my picks. The fact that Stan hasn't voted since the thunderdome isn't great and that was just a no lynch.
Potentially getting another kill from Splinters shot could have been helpful for scum but there's something to be said for being the first person to post a shot and it hitting town. If Zeke was scum and wanted to gain town cred, I feel like it looks better if you're the first person to post and also removes this line of thinking but in reverse (Zeke being scum but waiting until Splinter shot to maybe get another town kill).
I'm not sure yet. I'm on page 26 (100 ppp) but right now, I'd rather lynch someone else today.
Both Alexem and Ezekel look suspicious coming out of this but I'd have to lean towards Alexem. The sudden mention of having no active ability is weird and serves no purpose.
Vote: Alexem
Depending on Alexems response, I might move over to Blarg. Showing up and being vague isn't helping anyone. Although if they control the Lone Stranger that muddies the waters as I don't know if scum would have two NPCs that they can use.
So, if we take Ezekel and Alexem at face value.
Role cop - Monkey, Coolest, Ezekel
Strong Kill - Brazil, Fandorin
Reflect - Alexem
Redirect- Gorlak
Not sure what to make of the claim yet.
Unvote
I'm still wary of Alexem but not enough to lynch them today. If I still feel the same tomorrow, there's always the ITA.
@Alexem In your roleclaim you mention a situation of a cop checking you and getting Extremes alignment but why would that actually help anyone? If the cop got a red check, the natural assumption would be that you were scum and when you bring up your role, obviously they'd think that you're just lying to get out of a check.
I'm finally caught up. I feel like I need a break away from this game after that but at least we have a day end coming up. My thoughts on the game are all over the place right now but the people I feel good about of the top of my head are Brazil, Fandorin, heymonkey, Gorlak, Kawl and Ynnek.
I'm not really sure. They definitely had some other posts that were suspect but I can't explain why that was the case.
Shoot: Alexem (Their claim is good enough for me today but some of their other explanations have seemed off. I'd rather use a shot on them than a lynch.)
Vote: I'm wrestling with this right now but maybe Blarg.
Protect: LuxCommander (If they're genuine about their lookout role.)
The silence is why I haven't voted for Blarg yet, despite him being my first choice. I'd expect more opposition if he was scum. Though I'm not sure who else to go for.
I think Blarg might just be a neutral. Town wouldn't be playing like this when they're on the line, even if they had a history like Blarg does.
These sudden votes for Alexem don't feel good.
Vote: Blargonaut
Potentially. There is also the second push that came after Blarg claimed. I wouldn't be surprised if we had scum in both parts.
Jubjub was probably killed by a town or neutral role. Scum probably wouldn't kill someone with suspicion against them, unless they thought they had an important role.
With the ITA phase coming up soon, trying to remove the inactives makes sense but that won't give us much information. Even if 1 of them flips scum, their interactions won't tell us much. Although I guess the fact that they don't have many interactions is itself a reason in support of it.
Let's see what falls out of the tree.
No whammy: Lone Prodigy
Why are you so enthusiastic about someone that hasn't flipped yet?
At least we got scum to make up for the lovers death. Although I don't like Extremes enthusiasm before the flip was revealed.
Natiko was on the no lynch as well. I wonder if we have anymore scum hiding in that vote.
I tried to shoot LP earlier but he's at least posted since then while brief hasn't shown up since last Friday.
Vote: briefs_cat
We already knew she was BP from Blargs vest. The wording of your post makes way more sense now if you didn't know that beforehand.
As for Blarg, we know he's telling the truth about the vests since he was confirmed by two people. The problem is that it would be a weird scum or even neutral role. Unless there's other components to it
I really don't see the Saw case. Nothing she's done has really rang alarm bells for and with some of the recent arguments, I feel like the only sane one. The fact that Geno lied about having information to get a claim is insane and I can't believe no-one is actually calling him out for it. Now he's setting up chains of people to flip depending on how Saw flips and it just feels like I missed something. If Sawneeks is town, I am shooting Geno tomorrow because I don't care how many scum he's found, he's probably the most anti town person right now and he is going to lead town to their death with his arrogance.
There's no reason to believe that the Natiko kill was intentional. It could have been a shot that they were hoping to miss, just so it looks better if Natiko ever flipped scum.
Did you ever say why you suspected me?
Fair enough.
Hmm... because you were forthcoming about it after it happened, I suppose? Nothing’s ever 100%, like you say. Most of my theories turn out to be missing something.why didn't you shoot at me then?
why aren't you voting me?
http://www.outermafia.com/index.php?posts/32747/ and two other posts below this one.
Why do people scumread Zubz?
zubz: Gave a Town Read to Monkey really...really early and rather confidently too. Was kinda dancing around making hard choices unless coerced into it (i.e. wasn't going to vote in the TD until Melon called him a hypocrite and then he some reason voted Splinter). He later said this was because he was afraid Melon would turn this around on him. He also mentioned at one point that the TD was a trap and it was why he didn't want to vote. Is VERY concerned for his own safety. Also mentioned last Phase how he would go after Melon post-Mazre but has since done nothing about that. Scum.
I also want Swamped's flip. She's one of those who pushed the hardest for the No Lynch during the TD - one of the few times during the game that she actually went out of her way to explain her reasonings in detail.
The weird, so far unexplained vote and shot at Muffin also push me in that direction.
She even went after Trigger's vote on melon, that happened before she showed up in the thread, to pressure him towards a No Lynch.
In the second post quoted above, Swamped agrees with Geno that "if the power is scum's, the TD is definitely town-town".
Kalor ISO (may do hom3land later):
Day 2:
Day 3:
Day 4:
Got a few thoughts on Kalor. His Day 3 with Alexem is interesting as I can easily follow his train of thought where he was suspicious of Zeke and Alexem, got pushed towards Alexem due to his odd claim, and then tried to work through it. He also posts some thoughts on Blarg in regards to how quiet he was and how, if he was Scum, he feel like he would try harder/there would be more opposition. With Alexem flipping Town I don't have a huge issue with Kalor jumping off to Blarg when the lynch gained speed.
Day 4 is a little more interesting. Mentions that Scum could be in both Alexem and Blarg (kinda obvious?) Gives a reason for JubJub not being killed by Scum due to their actions, mentions that removing inactives doesn't give much info so is somewhat iffy on that aspect but then goes and shoots LP. Afterwards he also moves onto briefs, another inactive player, despite having not great feelings on ET's reaction to natiko.
Mentions after Natiko flips Scum that there may be more Scum Players on the No Lynch vote during the TD but doesn't look into it himself.
Forgets that I didn't get a Blargovest (so if Blarg is SOMEHOW scum this clears Kalor imo) and generally does not understand that sudden push against me. Also makes an odd remark that the Natiko kill could have been an accident on Scum's part? It's an odd statement to make without much else backing it up.
Also asks Kawl why he scum reads him and Kawl replies with 'gut feels' and Kalor just drops it. Is that really enough to get you to back off?
In the end I'm....not sure. I generally Town Read his Day 3 in regards to Alexem and how he reacted and moved over to Blarg. His Day 4 in regards to inactives, Natiko, and Kawl give me pause. He clearly has something he can continue working on outside of inactives (i.e. ET or even the No Lynch TD voters) but does neither and keeps on briefs. Simply accepting Kawl's arguably weak and unclear reason for scum reading him is also odd and I didn't expect him to drop it so fast.
Would like his response to this paragraph above before I give a final call.
I didn't really follow up on Kawls post as I just wanted even a simple explanation for the vote on me. Mostly since up to that point none had really been given. I'm curious about what posts he thought stuck out but it didn't seem pressing to me. Maybe we can come back to it tomorrow when Kawl has more time as he mentioned.
The no lynch votes is just a lack of time to actually dig into those users and their posts. As for ET, it seemed like a weird post but I wouldn't lynch or shoot them today for it. Especially since there's other stuff about them that makes me town read them.
No, that's basically it. There are many posters who don't show up a lot, and Swamped is one of them - but when she is here, she isn't really pressing anyone or even fighting back against those who accuse her.@Brazil It was just these? Or am I missing some?
I just entered this thread for the first time half an hour ago.
I'm good at dynamic reading but not that good.
Zipped speculating about balance gives me town!Zipped vibes.
(Still not even close to caught up, don't @ me)
Alright.
I have a hard time picturing you wanting to go 1 for 1 with a townie!Verelios as scum.
But at the same time, claiming to get a confusing result for your check is a great set up to a “Can you blame me for acting that way?” type of defense if Verelios flips town.
Hmmm
Verelios getting lynched today seems inevitable at this point. I understand where those asking for us to leave it up to the night phase are coming from, but at the same time, if one of them is actually scum, scum could let the townie live to make us lynch them tomorrow... and then we’d end up taking two more phases to solve this entire thing.
This is all true.
Hey Include :)
I'm very wary of Monkey. I'd describe her as a protagonist who is never at the right place when it actually matters. Like how in the lead-up to Verelios getting killed she distanced herself from the Zipped x Verelios conflict by saying things like "It feels like it'll get sorted out without me", and then took a shot at Trigger right at the start of the second ITA wave.
Natiko seems strangely subdued, and I think looking at Verelios' activity during that messy-ass D1 event to justify their new vote is weak.
I chose faircure as the leader. I originally thought of choosing Saw, but I didn't know if I'd be at a disadvantage if people knew who I'd picked, so I went for the choice that wasn't 100% obvious.
I don't know. Giving someone 0% chance on ITAs seems like such a shot in the dark with this many players. Considering the amount of townie kills they made on D1, it seems like it'd just be easier to outright kill someone they'd want silenced.
With the 100% boost, they have room to maneuver. The 0% nerf, on the other hand, could end up wasted on someone who didn't even show up during the ITA phases.
I think they definitely used the 100% boost. Maybe they didn't take the shot in the end, but I definitely think a scum was boosted.
Was it weird, or was it easy? It's one or the other.
We know in hindsight that it was a wrong choice, but the reasoning for it was perfectly sound. So much so that, yes, it made it easy for scum to potentially fit get in that mislynch without much consequence. But you've made over half a dozen comments about being weirded out by that vote whilst admitting that you would've voted there as well. There's a strange dissonance in the way you've been reacting to that whole thing since before it even came into fruition.
There's no reason for us to make scum's job easier when we can "prove things" by simply taking out Include. Chill out you two.
I switched myself with someone! It was with eram
... It’s Natiko!
This is a lie. The way she withheld information throughout multiple posts for no reason, too, is a clear sign of someone who hadn’t prepared all of her material and needed some time.
Include would’ve used a power like that either against Geno or Saw, the two players she was fixated on yesterday. Natiko as a target came from absolutely nowhere. I’d be flabbergasted if it was true.
I actually think most had mixed feelings on him. That's where I stand - I haven't found anything blatantly scummy about his behavior yet, but I can't say they've made any irrefutable contributions to town either.
To add to that: my main grip with Natiko yesterday was the avenues he was choosing for his votes. Even though he clarified what he meant when he was chasing after Blade due to the Event 1 Verelios lead, I still think that was a very low-info lead relative to the amount of scum flips we can look over.
I should look over the players who had suspicious interactions with more than one confirmed scum player... but it seems like a daunting task that I'm procrastinating.
I usually get an incredible feeling of earnestness in every town!faircure post. Even though I was scum in HvV, I think the way she posted there made it incredibly obvious that she was town, for example.
I'm not getting that strong feeling in this game. She seems more subdued in how she presents her arguments and prods (even though she's still prodding, which is a good sign), not really going at great lengths to explain her reasonings and all that.
Her somewhat weird vanilla claim fits with the way she usually presents information about herself as a townie, though.
I guess I'm leaning town on her, but also staying open to the possibility that this subdued faircure could be my first contact with scum!faircure.
Blarg shows up, makes some noise with shallow questions that he could find the answers to by reading the thread, and then goes away.
I'm sitting and waiting. I don't have a strong townread on Zeke like Monkey and Gorlak seemingly do, and I still think my logic fits. But I also recognize enough weirdness in Alexem's behavior to consider him the other possibility.
As I was saying, the difference is that the real townie play after trying and failing to grab the cop check, as seemingly demonstrated by Monkey and Coolest, was to immediately reveal that information as soon as the event ended.
Instead, you came back into the thread with a careful post not revealing anything about yourself, but asking others to do it.
There's a huge difference between being open from the get-go and withholding information. It could be just an unfortunate misstep, sure. But you had the opportunity to make the perfect town play, as Monkey and Coolest did, and you didn't. Maybe because you couldn't.
You could argue that I was the same because I was waiting for everyone else to claim first - but you can't verify that like I can with your post at Gorlak. And, as a townie, I had no reason to pressure anyone to reveal their info before I did. If you are scum, you had a reason to do just that.
I disagree. The way people do things is something I always look out for. It's not a factor I base my arguments on, but it's something that reinforces them.
I'm not interested in debating methodology, though.
I'm going to move my vote to a train that actually has a chance of happening.
VOTE: Alexem
The Lone dude seems like a neutral's affair, and I appreciate the connection Gorlak did between them and Blarg. I won't oppose that lynch at all. However, Alexem is completely absent, and his flip will help clear my thoughts regarding the last event.
I'll be back in a few.
Either neutral or town. But I wonder what kind of power scum has to move things around when even a "small" train (relative to the number of players who are alive) has 10 votes.
This post doesn't either. Two different players seem to confirm Blarg's claim - it's obvious why people would unvote off of Blarg.
But still
*Sigh*
I'd be very hard-pressed to call what happened "you vs. Alexem". Monkey pushed all the attentions towards Alexem there.
Either way, I'll look up those posts from back then once again because I mostly skimmed through that part when I arrived.
I can already say, however, that the colored votes list for that event that you posted up there is very interesting.
Out of the 7 first No Lynch voters, which naturally were the ones that moved the needle in that direction, we've had 3 flips, of which 2 were scum. The other 4 players are still out there, while the ones in the lower half of the table were mostly townies. Scum is chipping away at town, but those who influenced the vote during that event are all being left alone.
Swamped
Zeke was right. melon's behavior in the TD is completely uncanny. It makes no sense.
After Splinter answered a completely benign question about his flavor name, she immediately chose No Lynch over throwing even the smallest pressure towards Splinter in the thunderdome she created.
And then she mentioned feeling much better about Splinter despite the fact that he was never under any real scrutiny during the entire thing.
You were right, Zeke. I want this flip.
VOTE: melonrabbit
I also want Swamped's flip. She's one of those who pushed the hardest for the No Lynch during the TD - one of the few times during the game that she actually went out of her way to explain her reasonings in detail.
The weird, so far unexplained vote and shot at Muffin also push me in that direction.
She even went after Trigger's vote on melon, that happened before she showed up in the thread, to pressure him towards a No Lynch.
From where I'm standing, if melon flips town, we can confirm Blarg. If melon flips scum, Blarg and Swamped are very much likely to be scum as well.
Shoot melon. If she flips town and you guys feel the connection is strong enough, lynch Neeks and avoid the bleeder power.
Hmm :/
Gorlak, Zeke and melon were arguing between themselves a lot too. I dunno.
For now my strongest scumread is Swamped, and it's based on her own behavior. I'll reread Saw.
I don't like that this is conditioned on that specific read because I'm still very uncertain about you... and it actually paints you in a bad light.
DCPat's post itself isn't really weird in terms of content, but the intent behind it seems weird now that we know he was scum.
As scum, why would he want to distance himself from the townie he gave the antidote to? Scum usually holds on tight to any connection to a townie.
Swamped - Leaning scum. I've explained why a few times already.
faircure - Leaning scum. DCPat distancing himself from her after passing her the antidote really doesn't make sense if faircure is townie.
Extreme Tactician - He only has his ITA history to show in terms of seemingly townie behavior. Very wary of him.
Poltergust - Bad gut feeling. Can't really expand on it right now.
Kalor - Bad ITA history, not much to show after subbing in. I really wanna look into hom3land's posts later.
Sawneeks - She has one of those claims that activate the worst type of WIFOM in my brain - balance WIFOM. It's awful. I'm wary of her, but the forced way with which Geno brought her into contention earlier today actually makes me feel a little better about her.
Muffin - I've never seen town!Muffin, so it's hard for me to use meta to read him. But the way he got dragged into that argument with Monkey over the Alexem lynch and then had to spend a lot of time defending himself reminds me so much of stuff that happened in HvV and Monopoly. I'm keeping him at arm's length.
StanleyPalmtree - Seems like town!Stan. Lots of shade on everyone; concrete contributions, not so much. We're literally a world apart in terms of timezones and I always end up forgetting to ISO him because he's not here. Can't really say either way.
LuxCommander - Weird claim timing, but his check on me last night seems to confirm at least his role. Keeping at arm's length as well, but I trust him a little more than I do Muffin or Stan.
CoolestSpot - He hasn't really contributed. It wouldn't surprise me one bit if Coolest was faking the whole silenced thing. His behavior after the Greed event gave me good vibes, but I don't have a read on him.
The long list of people I can't even really comment on right now:
briefs_cat
BladeSymphony
Lone_Prodigy
oreomunsta
Zubz
NeckToChicken
rac - His power feels very townish considering Rynam's flip. At worst, neutral.
Kawl - Green-checked, and targeted by at least two weird ITA shots. Not much other than that to comment on, but I'm still keeping him in this group.
Blargonaut - With the information we have from Kawl and melon, it's hard to believe he's scum. But mechanics are the only thing he has going for him. He could be a scum armorer for all we know, since melon's BP ended up taken from her in the end. Leaning town, unfortunately.
Fandorin - Town!Fandorin is usually all up in my face, which he isn't in this game, but I'm still getting town vibes from him. I get some frustration from his posts, which I'm feeling as well. He's one of out of two possibilties for scum in the Greed event, and probably the likeliest one, but I'm still townreading him.
Ynnek7 - Town.
VOTE: Swamped
----
Geno - The thing with Geno is that all of his best plays feel unnatural. His scumreads don't come up in the thread organically - they just happen out of nowhere. He immediately jumped at Grizzly when the day started. He shot Natiko out of nowhere on D3 despite the fact that Include was red-checked at the time. He gave Kawl the antidote, killing Apollo, out of nowhere.
I can't shake the feeling that he's always using privileged information to stay one step ahead of the rest of the thread - like, as mentioned above, when he took a shot at a different scum when town was focused on Include.
Had Geno built cases to support his scumreads, I wouldn't be saying this. But the stuff he's gotten right so far, to me, all seem based on stuff he didn't communicate to the rest of the thread. Yes, I realize that his history should usually make me townread him, but it seems like I respect him too much for that. And this game is absolutely perfect for scum to use the Mega Bus Driver strategy. You can bus three or four of your companions to death right off the bat and still have 5 or 6 leftover companions. He shot at Natiko, but we already know that at least three other scum players had taken ITA shots at their companions before he that.
On top of that, there's two other things that caught my attention:
- He reacted to Include's ITA shot at him like she had murdered his children. It was way overboard. It makes me think more of fabricated conflict than genuine frustration.
- When the antidote event happened, Geno had already established himself as a powerful townie. And yet Apollo chose to kill Terraforce instead of him, despite the fact that Geno was the one who left Apollo to die.
Geno will probably read all of this and be mad at me, but please see it this way: if I'm wrong, consider this one hell of a compliment - you'd be playing so well as town that I can't even see your movements.
I don't want to vote Geno today. I'm still mulling all of this and entertaining the possibility that I really am just being stupid. But I wanted to write this down before EoD either way.
Time for Brazil in the WC quarter finals. I'll be back before EoD.
Odd. I may have said the same at the time, I can't recall, but Melon flipping Scum actually would not damn Blarg. Blarg could've still been giving out BP Vests as Town and just misjudged and gave it to a Scum!Melon. The reasoning for the connection to Swamped checks out though.From where I'm standing, if melon flips town, we can confirm Blarg. If melon flips scum, Blarg and Swamped are very much likely to be scum as well.
What makes you Town Read him?
Also, given you made that post about Natiko being an accidental kill, why not go more for Geno today?
Hmm, okay.No, that's basically it. There are many posters who don't show up a lot, and Swamped is one of them - but when she is here, she isn't really pressing anyone or even fighting back against those who accuse her.
The one time she was prolific in her arguments in the entire game was during the TD, which was also the one time scum banded together to achieve something. 3 out of the first 6 No Lynch votes were scum's. Hers was the 7th, and the one that put the No Lynch option in the lead.
Back in a few. Currently mourning over our loss. *Sigh*